On 12 May, American President Donald Trump
will decide whether the United States will pull out of the Joint Comprehensive
Plan of Action (JCPOA): the international deal with Iran over its nuclear
programme.
But the United States will leave. Just Called Pour an
Obvious Adieu.
The timing of the awaited decision is no
coincidence. First, it will come less than a week after the Lebanese elections
would have been celebrated. As has been predicted, Iran´s proxy Shiite militia
in Lebanon – dubbed Lebanese political organisation, won considerable votes at
the May parliamentary elections. Indeed, Hezbollah political bloc’s gains came
at the expense of the Saudi backed Future Movement, which lost one-third of its
seats. Naturally there was finger pointing and conspiracy theories regarding schemes
to eliminate the Future party from the political process. Most likely, Sunni
forces in the region will take a free ride on the Shiite-danger-blame train.
Second, the Israeli Knesset adopted a proposal on 1
May that authorises the premier and defence minister to declare war ‘under
extreme circumstances’. Concomitantly, the Israeli Prime Minister showcased Iranian
nuclear documents (obtained by Mossad operatives in Iran) regarding Tehran´s naughty
nuclear programme prior to the JCPOA.
Third, Palestinians and other Arab and Muslim
nations will commemorate al Nakba Day (remembrance of Palestinian diaspora
following the establishment of the independent state of Israel on 14 May 1948)
on 14 May. In some cases, the usual chaos, mayhem, and violence will likely
take place in the West Bank and the Gaza strip, with the support and blessings
of Israel´s historic enemies (Iran and its proxy organisations in the Middle
East).
When, and not if, the US pulls out of the nuclear
deal, it will have a series of supporting arguments. Iranian associates are
gaining further ground in the troubled Middle East, most recently attested by
the Lebanese parliamentary elections. Iran´s retaliation against Israel for the
latter´s offence against Iranian troops and military presence in Syria will not
go unnoticed – although un-analysed and un-justified with objective goggles. Self-defence
will be expected from the Israeli Defence Forces, whose green light will be
given with the ease of switching a light bulb at home (thanks to the newly
adopted proposal granting the premier and his defence minister the right to
respond instantaneously when Israel is under threat). Attacks against Israelis
and death chants to Zionists on al Nakba Day will stir sympathetic emotions
towards Tel Aviv and a blind eye towards its actions which will likely be directed
against Iranian proxies.
Pulling out of the JCPOA will not only be the
sensible decision in light of the recently
exposed documents regarding Tehran´s web of nuclear lies, but also when taking
into account the related geopolitical developments that have rendered Iran the
biggest threat to the world at large.
Washington´s unwise decision will reverberate in the
region, and more bloodshed is expected. Like a broken record, the rhetoric has
paved the way for further violence, and as promised, no one should be surprised.
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