Skip to main content

Should I Stay or Should I Go?


On 12 May, American President Donald Trump will decide whether the United States will pull out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA): the international deal with Iran over its nuclear programme.

But the United States will leave. Just Called Pour an Obvious Adieu.

The timing of the awaited decision is no coincidence. First, it will come less than a week after the Lebanese elections would have been celebrated. As has been predicted, Iran´s proxy Shiite militia in Lebanon – dubbed Lebanese political organisation, won considerable votes at the May parliamentary elections. Indeed, Hezbollah political bloc’s gains came at the expense of the Saudi backed Future Movement, which lost one-third of its seats. Naturally there was finger pointing and conspiracy theories regarding schemes to eliminate the Future party from the political process. Most likely, Sunni forces in the region will take a free ride on the Shiite-danger-blame train.  

Second, the Israeli Knesset adopted a proposal on 1 May that authorises the premier and defence minister to declare war ‘under extreme circumstances’. Concomitantly, the Israeli Prime Minister showcased Iranian nuclear documents (obtained by Mossad operatives in Iran) regarding Tehran´s naughty nuclear programme prior to the JCPOA.

Third, Palestinians and other Arab and Muslim nations will commemorate al Nakba Day (remembrance of Palestinian diaspora following the establishment of the independent state of Israel on 14 May 1948) on 14 May. In some cases, the usual chaos, mayhem, and violence will likely take place in the West Bank and the Gaza strip, with the support and blessings of Israel´s historic enemies (Iran and its proxy organisations in the Middle East).

When, and not if, the US pulls out of the nuclear deal, it will have a series of supporting arguments. Iranian associates are gaining further ground in the troubled Middle East, most recently attested by the Lebanese parliamentary elections. Iran´s retaliation against Israel for the latter´s offence against Iranian troops and military presence in Syria will not go unnoticed – although un-analysed and un-justified with objective goggles. Self-defence will be expected from the Israeli Defence Forces, whose green light will be given with the ease of switching a light bulb at home (thanks to the newly adopted proposal granting the premier and his defence minister the right to respond instantaneously when Israel is under threat). Attacks against Israelis and death chants to Zionists on al Nakba Day will stir sympathetic emotions towards Tel Aviv and a blind eye towards its actions which will likely be directed against Iranian proxies.

Pulling out of the JCPOA will not only be the sensible decision in light  of the recently exposed documents regarding Tehran´s web of nuclear lies, but also when taking into account the related geopolitical developments that have rendered Iran the biggest threat to the world at large.

Washington´s unwise decision will reverberate in the region, and more bloodshed is expected. Like a broken record, the rhetoric has paved the way for further violence, and as promised, no one should be surprised.


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Just as Orwell Said

         George Orwell said in his famous book 1984 that “first they steal the words, then they steal the meaning”, accurately foreseeing the political actions of world leaders and their manipulation of public opinion. His words are ever so precise once one examines the vocabulary applied by a number of world leaders when describing the policies and regimes of troubling countries: axis of evil, war on terror, terrorist killers, harbourers of fundamentalism etc. Ironic it is to see how those who were once described to have been allies with Satan himself seem to show good will in a matter of very few years. Iran is one very good example of this. The Persian nation has come out as a winner in the Geneva talks that were held in October, where not only did it get applauded for the concessions it offered, but it also ensured the west’s acceptance of its regional weight. Everyone seems to be more relaxed after the negotiations and ...

Kaftar

Muaawiya Bin Abi Sufyan was the first Umayyad Caliph, who ruled as a just and jovial leader until his death in 683 AD. Known for his sense of humour and his love for women, Abi Sufyan was famous for a story that took place in his own harem. While escorting a woman for the Khorasan region in modern day Iran, a beautiful woman entered the harem and mesmerised the Leader of All Believers. With his pride in his manhood and prowess in the bed arena, Abi Sufyan did not hesitate to engage in a brazen and manly sexual act in front of the Khorasani woman, who was patiently waiting for her turn. After he was done, he turned victoriously to his first concubine and asked her how to say ‘lion' in Persian - in a direct analogy to his sexual performance.  The Khorasani woman, unamused, told him slyly, that lion is kaftar in Persian. The Caliph went back to his Court ever so jubilant and told his subjects – repeatedly – that he was one lucky kaftar. His...

Pan-Arabism vs. Middle Easternism?

             A rab Nationalism, a romantic concept that moved poets to write ballads, intellectuals to preach volumes, activists to passionately organize and the masses to cheer freedom. A concept introduced by students at the American University of Beirut in the last phases of the ageing Ottoman Empire and studied in secret societies. This concept developed and led, under western planning, to the Great Arab Revolt in 1916. The slogans of Arab revival and freedom from Ottoman tyranny swept the Arab nations, where hopes of independence and self-rule were promised by the restoration of Arab control over the area. Then problems arose. Who are Arabs? What is an Aran nation? How does it extend geographically? Is it an area that encompasses people who speak the same language and share the same history? If so, why did the Lebanese Maronites reject the concept of Arab nationalism and insist on a Lebanese identity? Why did the Egyptians hesitate be...