Should I Stay or Should I Go?

On 12 May, American President Donald Trump will decide whether the United States will pull out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA): the international deal with Iran over its nuclear programme.

But the United States will leave. Just Called Pour an Obvious Adieu.

The timing of the awaited decision is no coincidence. First, it will come less than a week after the Lebanese elections would have been celebrated. As has been predicted, Iran´s proxy Shiite militia in Lebanon – dubbed Lebanese political organisation, won considerable votes at the May parliamentary elections. Indeed, Hezbollah political bloc’s gains came at the expense of the Saudi backed Future Movement, which lost one-third of its seats. Naturally there was finger pointing and conspiracy theories regarding schemes to eliminate the Future party from the political process. Most likely, Sunni forces in the region will take a free ride on the Shiite-danger-blame train.  

Second, the Israeli Knesset adopted a proposal on 1 May that authorises the premier and defence minister to declare war ‘under extreme circumstances’. Concomitantly, the Israeli Prime Minister showcased Iranian nuclear documents (obtained by Mossad operatives in Iran) regarding Tehran´s naughty nuclear programme prior to the JCPOA.

Third, Palestinians and other Arab and Muslim nations will commemorate al Nakba Day (remembrance of Palestinian diaspora following the establishment of the independent state of Israel on 14 May 1948) on 14 May. In some cases, the usual chaos, mayhem, and violence will likely take place in the West Bank and the Gaza strip, with the support and blessings of Israel´s historic enemies (Iran and its proxy organisations in the Middle East).

When, and not if, the US pulls out of the nuclear deal, it will have a series of supporting arguments. Iranian associates are gaining further ground in the troubled Middle East, most recently attested by the Lebanese parliamentary elections. Iran´s retaliation against Israel for the latter´s offence against Iranian troops and military presence in Syria will not go unnoticed – although un-analysed and un-justified with objective goggles. Self-defence will be expected from the Israeli Defence Forces, whose green light will be given with the ease of switching a light bulb at home (thanks to the newly adopted proposal granting the premier and his defence minister the right to respond instantaneously when Israel is under threat). Attacks against Israelis and death chants to Zionists on al Nakba Day will stir sympathetic emotions towards Tel Aviv and a blind eye towards its actions which will likely be directed against Iranian proxies.

Pulling out of the JCPOA will not only be the sensible decision in light  of the recently exposed documents regarding Tehran´s web of nuclear lies, but also when taking into account the related geopolitical developments that have rendered Iran the biggest threat to the world at large.

Washington´s unwise decision will reverberate in the region, and more bloodshed is expected. Like a broken record, the rhetoric has paved the way for further violence, and as promised, no one should be surprised.